Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Independiente - Argentine Primera Division - July 20, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Jul 20, 2022 at 11pm UK at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Duarte (28'), Frias (64' pen.)
Duarte (33'), Gutierrez (51')
Gutierrez (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vigo (90+1')
Marcone (13'), Romero (36'), Pozzo (64'), Rodriguez (62'), Fernandez (72'), Vigo (90+2')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Independiente

There is very little to separate the sides right now, and we expect a tight affair in this one with the teams cancelling each other out and settling for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Independiente
46.32% ( 0.6)	26.82% ( 0.2)	26.86% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 48.06% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.59% (

-1.18)

56.41% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.58% (

-0.97)

77.42% (

0.96)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.67% (

-0.23)

24.33% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.29% (

-0.33)

58.71% (

0.33)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.5% (

-1.3)

36.5% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.71% (

-1.33)

73.29% (

1.33)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 46.32%

Independiente 26.86%

Draw 26.82%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.32%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.82%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.86% Total : 26.86%

How you voted: Defensa vs Independiente

Defensa y Justicia

33.3%

Draw

40.0%

Independiente

26.7%

Head to Head

Aug 21, 2021 1.15am

Independiente

0-0

Defensa

Velasco (29'), Manuel Insaurralde (29'), Blanco (82')
Blanco (90+3')

Tripichio (16'), Contreras (26'), Gutierrez (38'), Silva (53'), Soto (57'), Rivero (65')

Apr 18, 2021 10pm

Independiente

1-0

Defensa

Barreto (77')
Palacios (82')

Romero (18'), Pizzini (47'), Escalante (90+6')

Dec 6, 2020 10.10pm

Zone Two

Independiente

1-0

Defensa

Sonora (3')
Benavidez (24'), Costa (75'), Ignacio Pacchini (83')

Nov 15, 2020 9.45pm

Zone Two

Defensa

0-0

Independiente

Acevedo (39'), Frias (44'), Paredes (89')

Rodriguez (27'), Barboza (37'), Franco (57'), Romero (78')

Jul 28, 2019 9.45pm

Defensa

0-1

Independiente

Herrera (23'), Benitez (25'), Fernandez (26'), Merlini (86'), Piovi (90')

Palacios (33')
Figal (53')

Form Guide

Sarmiento 2-0 Defensa

Defensa 3-2 Aldosivi

Gimnasia 1-0 Defensa

Defensa 1-1 Velez Sarsfield

Godoy Cruz 2-1 Defensa

Defensa 1-1 Huracan

Independiente 0-0 Rosario

Racing 1-0 Independiente

Independiente 1-3 Platense

Patronato 3-1 Independiente

Independiente 2-1 Estudiantes

Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Independiente

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