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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jun 16, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Argentinos Jrs
2 - 1
Independiente
Nuss (21'), Vera (53')
Moyano (45+2'), Nuss (45+5'), Vera (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Benegas (44')
Rodriguez (39'), Laso (73'), Fernandez (90'), Barreto (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Argentinos Jrs
Saturday, June 11 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Independiente

 There is quality on both sides, though neither have managed to bury their chances consistently, so we anticipate this will be a close game between two teams who are looking to keep pace in the early stages of this Primera Division phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawIndependiente
45.39% (0.557 0.56) 27.81% (0.402 0.4) 26.79% (-0.961 -0.96)
Both teams to score 45.26% (-1.714 -1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.04% (-1.871 -1.87)59.96% (1.87 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.79% (-1.45 -1.45)80.21% (1.449 1.45)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.577 -0.58)26.39% (0.575 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (-0.774 -0.77)61.54% (0.772 0.77)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-1.832 -1.83)38.51% (1.831 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-1.792 -1.79)75.25% (1.791 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 45.38%
    Independiente 26.79%
    Draw 27.81%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.71 0.71)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.336 0.34)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 45.38%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.16% (0.693 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.285 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 26.79%

How you voted: Argentinos Jrs vs Independiente

Argentinos Juniors
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Independiente
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2021 12.15am
Independiente
0-0
Argentinos Jrs

Manuel Insaurralde (21'), Roa (76'), Romero (77')

Gomez (26'), Ovando (86'), Di Cesare (87')
Dec 28, 2020 10.20pm
Zone Five
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Independiente

Coronel (86')
Menendez (24'), Velasco (71')
Bustos (61')
Oct 19, 2019 7.30pm
Independiente
0-1
Argentinos Jrs

Perez (7'), Bustos (9'), Palacios (25'), Figal (84')
Roa (45')
Gomez (86')
Sandoval (32'), Gomez (34'), Mac Allister (42'), Silva (55'), Batallini (70')
Nov 4, 2018 2pm
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Independiente

Montero (81')
Gigliotti (17', 86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1River PlateRiver Plate1512122662037
2San Lorenzo148421551028
3Defensa y JusticiaDefensa148332081227
4EstudiantesEstudiantes158341813527
5BelgranoBelgrano158341411327
6Rosario CentralRosario157532319426
7LanusLanus147432214825
8TalleresTalleres1473423121124
9Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz156451818022
10TigreTigre155641616021
11Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs155551914520
12Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB155551214-220
13Boca Juniors155371816218
14Racing ClubRacing145361719-218
15Central CordobaC. Cordoba145361015-518
16ColonColon153841416-217
17Barracas Central154561318-517
18Platense154561521-617
19Instituto154561319-617
20Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield153751615116
21Sarmiento144461515016
22HuracanHuracan154471520-516
23BanfieldBanfield15366917-815
24GimnasiaGimnasia144371423-915
25IndependienteIndependiente152851317-414
26Atletico TucumanTucuman152851218-614
27Arsenal SarandiArsenal143291221-911
28UnionUnion14167820-129
> Full Version
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