Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
