Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.