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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jun 16, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Boca Juniors
5 - 3
Tigre
Benedetto (11', 77'), Zeballos (54', 74'), Demartini (57' og.)
Fernandez (49'), Zeballos (76'), Weigandt (80'), Fabra (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Figal (35' og.), Retegui (66', 89' pen.)
Sosa (76'), Blondel (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-0 Boca Juniors
Monday, June 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 1-1 Barracas Central
Saturday, June 11 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Boca Juniors 2-1 Tigre

Even though Tigre will be more pleased with their start to the second phase, we cannot ignore the result in the corresponding fixture several weeks ago. With that in mind, we are backing a narrow win for the home side, who can catapult themselves up the standings in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawTigre
59.9% (-0.7 -0.7) 23.78% (-0.1 -0.1) 16.32% (0.794 0.79)
Both teams to score 43.08% (1.779 1.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.14% (1.507 1.51)55.85% (-1.513 -1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (1.211 1.21)76.97% (-1.218 -1.22)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (0.30500000000001 0.31)18.41% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (0.515 0.52)49.57% (-0.522 -0.52)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.8% (1.988 1.99)47.19% (-1.995 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.37% (1.451 1.45)82.63% (-1.458 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 59.89%
    Tigre 16.32%
    Draw 23.77%
Boca JuniorsDrawTigre
1-0 @ 14.7% (-0.73 -0.73)
2-0 @ 12.44% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 7.02% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.147 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.161 0.16)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 59.89%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.69% (-0.519 -0.52)
2-2 @ 3.51% (0.253 0.25)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.15% (0.262 0.26)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.04% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 16.32%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Tigre

Boca Juniors
86.4%
Draw
0.0%
Tigre
13.6%
22
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 8pm
Boca Juniors
3-0
Tigre
Rojo (45+4'), Fabra (68'), Vasquez (86')
Romero (23')

Cabrera (34'), Prieto (48'), Blondel (90')
May 7, 2022 8.30pm
Tigre
0-2
Boca Juniors

Fernandez (4'), Luciatti (27'), Blondel (39'), Prieto (68')
Benedetto (44'), Vasquez (65')
Benedetto (48'), Campuzano (90+2')
Nov 3, 2018 11pm
Boca Juniors
4-1
Tigre
Tevez (26', 73'), Cardona (69'), Buffarini (88')
Benedetto (15'), Balerdi (51'), Gago (63')
Gonzalez (11')
Ortiz (21'), Caire (29')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1River PlateRiver Plate1713132992040
2San Lorenzo1810531971235
3TalleresTalleres1794430161431
4EstudiantesEstudiantes179442014631
5Rosario CentralRosario178632520530
6Defensa y JusticiaDefensa1785422111129
7LanusLanus178542416829
8BelgranoBelgrano188461515028
9Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz177552018226
10Boca Juniors177372116524
11Sarmiento186661815324
12Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs176562116523
13Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB176561415-123
14Platense186572023-323
15TigreTigre175751718-122
16Barracas Central185761721-422
17GimnasiaGimnasia186481625-922
18Instituto175571421-720
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba175481219-719
20ColonColon173951518-318
21IndependienteIndependiente183961721-418
22HuracanHuracan174671520-518
23Atletico TucumanTucuman183961420-618
24Racing ClubRacing165381926-718
25Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield163851615117
26BanfieldBanfield173681020-1015
27Arsenal SarandiArsenal1842121426-1214
28UnionUnion16268922-1312

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