Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 2-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
