Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 94.19%. A draw had a probability of 4.5% and a win for Costa Rica Women had a probability of 1.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.32%) and 2-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.15%), while for a Costa Rica Women win it was 0-1 (0.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.06) 
