MX23RW : Monday, August 14 23:42:45| >> :60:356:356:
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 24, 2023 at 7am UK
Eden Park
Italy Women
1 - 0
Argentina Women
Girelli (87')
Caruso (25'), Bonansea (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Larroquette (12'), Anahi Mayorga (68'), Florencia Bonsegundo (76'), Noemi Stabile (90+6')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Women's World Cup clash between Italy Women and Argentina Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: S. Korea Women 1-2 Italy Women
Wednesday, February 22 at 4.45pm in Arnold Clark Cup
Last Game: USA Women 6-0 Argentina Women
Thursday, February 25 at 12am in SheBelieves Cup

We said: Italy Women 1-1 Argentina Women

Italy and Argentina will be determined to get off to a winning start, but with the two nations enjoying promising spells of form, we think that they will have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 84.08%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Argentina Women had a probability of 4.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.49%) and 1-0 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.36%), while for an Argentina Women win it was 0-1 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Women would win this match.

Result
Italy WomenDrawArgentina Women
84.08% (0.26899999999999 0.27) 11.43% (-0.182 -0.18) 4.49% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 36.45% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.56% (0.434 0.43)37.44% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.34% (0.464 0.46)59.66% (-0.46700000000001 -0.47)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.49% (0.142 0.14)6.51% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.71% (0.39 0.39)24.28% (-0.393 -0.39)
Argentina Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.99% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)61.01% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)91.16% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Italy Women 84.06%
    Argentina Women 4.49%
    Draw 11.43%
Italy WomenDrawArgentina Women
2-0 @ 14.81% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 13.49% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-0 @ 9.22% (0.103 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.04% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 4.56% (0.042 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.49% (0.043 0.04)
6-0 @ 2.3% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1.13% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 84.06%
1-1 @ 5.36% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-2 @ 1.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 11.43%
0-1 @ 1.96% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 1.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 4.49%

How you voted: Italy Women vs Argentina Women

Italy Women
56.7%
Draw
25.0%
Argentina Women
18.3%
60
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Newcastle UnitedNewcastle11005143
2Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton11004133
3Manchester CityMan City11003033
4Arsenal11002113
5Fulham11001013
6Crystal Palace11001013
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd11001013
8Brentford10102201
9Tottenham HotspurSpurs10102201
10Chelsea10101101
11Bournemouth10101101
12Liverpool10101101
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham10101101
14Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest100112-10
15Everton100101-10
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100101-10
17Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd100101-10
18Luton TownLuton100114-30
19Burnley100103-30
20Aston Villa100115-40

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Apple Music Summer 2023 affiliate promo

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!