Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 57.33%. A win for Basel had a probability of 21.92% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.8%) and 1-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
