Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 58.05%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 21.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 1-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
