Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
