We said: Torino 1-1 Sassuolo
Though Sassuolo have not drawn any of their last eight league matches at Stadio Olimpico di Torino, that statistical quirk may be ironed out on Sunday, as the sides play out a low-scoring draw.
In those last eight Turin clashes, 31 goals have been scored by the teams in total - at a rate of nearly four per match - but Torino are a sterner proposition these days and will withstand the visitors' versatile attack.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
