Sassuolo
3 - 1
Fiorentina
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bonaventura (31')
Castrovilli (15'), Milenkovic (28'), Biraghi (68'), Eysseric (81'), Pulgar (90+1')
Castrovilli (15'), Milenkovic (28'), Biraghi (68'), Eysseric (81'), Pulgar (90+1')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 44.21% | 23.92% | 31.88% |
| Both teams to score 60.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
