Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
52.9% | 22.61% | 24.49% |
Both teams to score 59.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.23% | 40.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.84% | 63.16% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.54% | 15.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.68% | 44.32% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.97% | 30.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.85% | 66.15% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 6.06% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 2.83% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.74% Total : 52.9% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 6.27% 0-1 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.06% Total : 24.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 47 |
2 | AC Milan | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 38 |
3 | Juventus | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Inter Milan | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Lazio | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 34 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Roma | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 34 |
8 | Udinese | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Torino | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 23 |
10 | Fiorentina | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
11 | Bologna | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 22 |
12 | Empoli | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Monza | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 21 |
14 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 20 |
15 | SpeziaSpezia | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | Salernitana | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 18 |
17 | SassuoloSassuolo | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 16 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Sampdoria | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 9 |
20 | Cremonese | 18 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 7 |
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