Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
48.09% | 24.53% | 27.39% |
Both teams to score 55.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.08% | 46.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.83% | 69.17% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.42% | 19.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.49% | 51.51% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.97% | 31.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.66% | 67.34% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.01% Total : 48.09% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 7.11% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.91% Total : 27.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Udinese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
5 | Inter Milan | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Lazio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Juventus | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
8 | Roma | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Torino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Salernitana | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
11 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
12 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 6 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
15 | SpeziaSpezia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
16 | Empoli | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
17 | Lecce | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
18 | Cremonese | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 |
19 | Sampdoria | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 2 |
20 | Monza | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 1 |
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