Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
