Serie A | Gameweek 11
Dec 13, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna
1 - 5
Roma
Cristante (24' og.)
Soriano (53'), Vignato (63'), Mihajlovic (64'), Baldursson (78'), Dominguez (89')
Soriano (53'), Vignato (63'), Mihajlovic (64'), Baldursson (78'), Dominguez (89')
FT(HT: 1-5)
Poli (5' og.), Dzeko (10'), Pellegrini (15'), Veretout (35'), Mkhitaryan (44')
Veretout (43'), Ibanez (49')
Veretout (43'), Ibanez (49')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Roma |
| 30.28% | 22.75% | 46.96% |
| Both teams to score 63.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
