Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
