Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 40.42%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 28.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-2 (7.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.93%), while for a Malaga win it was 1-0 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
