Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 36.55%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 31.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.41%) and 1-2 (6.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.9%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
