Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.