Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 44.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.