Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.