Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Aldershot Town |
46.59% | 24.27% | 29.14% |
Both teams to score 57.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.31% | 44.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% | 67.06% |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.69% | 19.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.93% | 51.07% |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.39% | 28.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.59% | 64.41% |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.35% 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.16% Total : 46.59% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-1 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 61 |
2 | Wrexham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 62 | 20 | 42 | 56 |
3 | Chesterfield | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 49 |
4 | Woking | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 49 |
5 | Barnet | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 41 |
6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 38 |
7 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 35 |
9 | Eastleigh | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
10 | Bromley | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 33 |
12 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 33 |
13 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 32 |
14 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 32 |
15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 30 |
16 | York City | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 29 |
17 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Gateshead | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 22 |
21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 22 |
22 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 21 |
23 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 21 |
24 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 19 |
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