Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Marseille |
35.1% | 27.12% | 37.77% |
Both teams to score 50.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.08% | 54.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% | 76.2% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.23% | 29.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.16% | 65.84% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% | 28.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.16% | 63.84% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.1% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 52 | 16 | 36 | 51 |
2 | Marseille | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 46 |
3 | Lens | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 45 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Rennes | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 40 |
6 | Lille | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 35 |
7 | Lorient | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Nice | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 |
9 | Clermont | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 30 |
10 | Lyon | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 29 |
11 | Reims | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Toulouse | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 20 |
15 | Brest | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 19 |
16 | Troyes | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 19 |
17 | Ajaccio | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 18 |
18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Auxerre | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 13 |
20 | Angers | 21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 47 | -29 | 8 |
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