Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Metz |
60.28% | 22.09% | 17.63% |
Both teams to score 50.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.64% | 47.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.42% | 69.58% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.72% | 15.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.02% | 43.98% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.51% | 40.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.9% | 77.1% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 11.62% 2-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 6.18% 4-0 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.21% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.33% Total : 60.27% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.59% 1-2 @ 4.75% 0-2 @ 2.53% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 90 | 36 | 54 | 86 |
2 | Marseille | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 71 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 69 |
4 | Rennes | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 82 | 40 | 42 | 66 |
5 | Nice | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 66 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 63 |
7 | Lens | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 62 | 48 | 14 | 62 |
8 | Lyon | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 66 | 51 | 15 | 61 |
9 | NantesNantes | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 55 |
10 | Lille | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 55 |
11 | Brest | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 48 |
12 | Reims | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 43 |
14 | Angers | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 41 |
15 | Troyes | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
16 | Lorient | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 35 | 63 | -28 | 36 |
17 | Clermont | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 38 | 69 | -31 | 36 |
18 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 38 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 32 |
R | Metz | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 69 | -34 | 31 |
R | Bordeaux | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 52 | 91 | -39 | 31 |
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