Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
42.39% | 27.17% | 30.43% |
Both teams to score 49.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.9% | 56.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.83% | 77.17% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.84% | 26.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.76% | 61.23% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.45% | 33.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.82% | 70.18% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.38% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 35 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 81 |
2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 |
3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 64 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 |
6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 56 |
8 | Nice | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 51 |
9 | Lorient | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 51 |
10 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 |
11 | Clermont | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 43 |
13 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 42 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 38 |
15 | Brest | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 34 |
17 | NantesNantes | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
R | Ajaccio | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 23 |
19 | Troyes | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 22 |
R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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