Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
47.23% | 25.19% | 27.58% |
Both teams to score 53.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.36% | 49.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.34% | 71.66% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.96% | 21.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.16% | 53.84% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.69% | 32.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.19% | 68.81% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.22% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.68% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.63% Total : 27.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 35 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 81 |
2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 |
3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 64 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 |
6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Lyon | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 56 |
8 | Clermont | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 53 |
9 | Nice | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 51 |
10 | Lorient | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 51 |
11 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 43 |
13 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 42 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 38 |
15 | Brest | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 34 |
17 | NantesNantes | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
R | Ajaccio | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 23 |
19 | Troyes | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 22 |
R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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