Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Angers had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
