Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
49.72% | 24.58% | 25.71% |
Both teams to score 53.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.6% | 48.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.46% | 70.54% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.5% | 19.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.63% | 51.37% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% | 33.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% | 69.74% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 5.2% 3-0 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.72% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.14% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.42% Total : 25.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 35 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 81 |
2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 |
3 | Marseille | 35 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 65 | 35 | 30 | 73 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 65 |
5 | Lille | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 60 |
6 | Rennes | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 38 | 22 | 59 |
7 | Lyon | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 59 |
8 | Clermont | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 53 |
9 | Lorient | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 52 |
10 | Nice | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 51 |
11 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 44 |
13 | Toulouse | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 43 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 38 |
15 | Brest | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 38 |
16 | Auxerre | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 |
17 | NantesNantes | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 33 |
R | Ajaccio | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 23 |
R | Troyes | 35 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 22 |
R | Angers | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 29 | 77 | -48 | 14 |
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