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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Swindon Town |
37.57% | 28.79% | 33.64% |
Both teams to score 45.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.8% | 61.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.85% | 81.15% |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.63% | 31.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.26% | 67.74% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.06% | 33.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.38% | 70.62% |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 12.34% 2-1 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.57% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 90 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 80 |
3 | Stevenage | 44 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 79 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 75 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Salford City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 51 | 18 | 72 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 72 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 69 | 53 | 16 | 72 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 58 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 58 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 57 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 57 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 53 |
15 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 52 |
16 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 52 |
17 | Walsall | 44 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 43 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 51 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 49 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 48 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 47 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 45 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 76 | -28 | 39 |
R | Rochdale | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
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