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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Walsall |
45.85% | 27.01% | 27.14% |
Both teams to score 47.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.02% | 56.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.12% | 77.88% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.19% | 24.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.61% | 59.39% |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.42% | 36.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.63% | 73.37% |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 12.65% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.36% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.13% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 1.85% Total : 27.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 45 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 90 |
P | Stevenage | 45 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 82 |
3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 80 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 78 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Salford City | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 75 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 75 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 55 | 15 | 72 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 8 | 19 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 58 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 58 |
12 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 58 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 57 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 56 |
15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 55 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 54 |
17 | Walsall | 45 | 11 | 19 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 52 |
18 | Gillingham | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 52 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 51 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 48 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 46 |
R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 45 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 51 | 77 | -26 | 42 |
R | Rochdale | 45 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 37 |
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