Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (12.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
