KNVB Beker | Second Round
Dec 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
USV Hercules
3 - 2
Ajax
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.2%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for USV Hercules had a probability of 5.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-3 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (8.05%) and 1-3 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.62%), while for a USV Hercules win it was 2-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| USV Hercules | Draw | Ajax |
| 5.04% | 8.76% | 86.2% |
| Both teams to score 56.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
