MX23RW : Friday, May 19 12:24:40| >> :60:2769:2769:
Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
Bodo/Glimt
0 - 0
Lech Poznan
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Lech Poznan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stromsgodset 2-4 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, November 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-0 Villarreal
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Bodo/Glimt 1-2 Lech Poznan

We believe that the inactivity of Bodo/Glimt will play a significant factor in this fixture as Lech Poznan will be much sharper and physically prepared for this encounter. Therefore, we think that the Polish side will edge this contest and head back to Poland with a narrow advantage over their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 59.16%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 20.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawLech Poznan
59.16% (-0.11900000000001 -0.12) 20.31% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 20.54% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 61.93% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.32% (0.042000000000002 0.04)34.68% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.37% (0.046999999999997 0.05)56.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)11.54% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.55% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)36.45% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (0.11499999999999 0.11)30% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (0.14 0.14)66.11% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 59.16%
    Lech Poznan 20.54%
    Draw 20.31%
Bodo/GlimtDrawLech Poznan
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.21% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.27% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.98%
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 59.16%
1-1 @ 9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.46% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.31%
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 20.54%

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs Lech Poznan

Bodo/Glimt
54.2%
Draw
14.4%
Lech Poznan
31.4%
118
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!