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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitesse in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitesse.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Emmen |
46.38% ( -5.83) | 25.24% ( 1.07) | 28.39% ( 4.77) |
Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.66% ( -0.82) | 49.34% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.61% ( -0.75) | 71.39% ( 0.75) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.71% ( -2.74) | 21.29% ( 2.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.77% ( -4.42) | 54.22% ( 4.42) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.46% ( 3.45) | 31.54% ( -3.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.07% ( 3.8) | 67.93% ( -3.79) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Emmen |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -1.18) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.65) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -1.03) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.44) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.58) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.93) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.89) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.89) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.55) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.47) Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 42 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 41 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 38 |
4 | Ajax | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 37 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 12 | 19 | 36 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
8 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 26 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 23 |
12 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 20 |
13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 20 |
14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 19 |
15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 16 |
17 | Cambuur | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 12 |
18 | Groningen | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 12 |
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