Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for NEC had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
