Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Den Bosch would win this match.
