Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 16, 2021 at 1.15am UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa
2 - 1
Estudiantes
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Estudiantes.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 37.84% | 27.18% | 34.98% |
| Both teams to score 50.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
