Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Patronato and Estudiantes.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41.25%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
