Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Sep 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
San Lorenzo
2 - 1
Defensa
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Defensa y Justicia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 38.82% | 29.03% | 32.15% |
| Both teams to score 44.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
