Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.