Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Ceara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 26.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 1-2 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
