Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
