Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.