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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Leeds logo

Norwich
2 - 3
Leeds

Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Leeds United

Saturday certainly presents a tough trip for Leeds United, but the Whites appear to be gaining momentum under their new manager while their hosts have struggled for consistency after a strong start, and we fancy Farke to come out on top on his Carrow Road return this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
43.08%24.84% (0.0010000000000012 0) 32.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.1% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.21%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (0.0020000000000095 0)21.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)54.3%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.69%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 43.08%
    Leeds United 32.08%
    Draw 24.83%
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.08%
1-1 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-1 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.08%

How you voted: Norwich vs Leeds

Norwich City
32.0%
Draw
24.0%
Leeds United
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
2-1
Norwich
Rodrigo (14'), Gelhardt (90+4')
Ayling (26'), Harrison (71'), James (77')
McLean (90+1')
Gunn (15'), Aarons (77')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Norwich
1-2
Leeds
Omobamidele (58')
McLean (46')
Raphinha (56'), Rodrigo (60')
Rodrigo (32'), Harrison (44'), Shackleton (67'), Drameh (79')
Feb 2, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Leeds
1-3
Norwich
Bamford (91')
Roberts (52'), Roofe (65'), Alioski (74')
Vrancic (5', 78'), Pukki (35')
Krul (26'), Stiepermann (83')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
0-3
Leeds

Trybull (50')
Klich (21'), Alioski (26'), Hernandez (67')
Ayling (62'), Berardi (90')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Norwich
2-1
Leeds
Hoolahan (45'), Murphy (70')
Hanley (33')
Phillips (39')
Pennington (43'), Jansson (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720


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