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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Leicester logo

Leeds
3 - 1
Leicester

Roberts (80'), Faes (83' og.), Bamford (90+4')
Rodon (45+3'), Ampadu (52'), Kamara (75'), Roberts (87'), Meslier (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Faes (15')
Pereira (19'), Vestergaard (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Leicester City

Like in the reverse fixture, any result feels possible, particularly an away one with the pressure off to a certain extent. Nevertheless, Leeds look unbeatable at present, and we are backing the Yorkshire giants to run out victors in a high-quality tussle at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
48.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 28.51% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.59% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.07% (-0.052 -0.05)37.93% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.81% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)60.18% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.012 -0.01)15.87% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)45.09% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)25.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)60.48% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 48.75%
    Leicester City 28.51%
    Draw 22.73%
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.75%
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 48.75%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 28.51%

How you voted: Leeds vs Leicester

Leeds United
59.0%
Draw
19.4%
Leicester City
21.6%
222
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Leicester
0-1
Leeds

Choudhury (89')
Rutter (58')
Byram (26'), Farke (27'), Summerville (88')
Apr 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Leeds
1-1
Leicester
Vardy (80')
Oct 20, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 12
Leicester
2-0
Leeds
Koch (16' og.), Barnes (35')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Leicester
1-0
Leeds
Barnes (67')
Ndidi (53')

Struijk (9'), Forshaw (71')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 11
Leeds
1-1
Leicester
Raphinha (26')
Raphinha (27')
Barnes (28')
Ndidi (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720


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