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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Leicester City |
34.28% ( -0.01) | 23.27% ( -0.02) | 42.44% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 63.69% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.24% ( 0.1) | 37.76% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.99% ( 0.11) | 60% ( -0.11) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( 0.05) | 22.09% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.54% ( 0.07) | 55.45% ( -0.07) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.75% ( 0.05) | 18.24% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.71% ( 0.09) | 49.29% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 42.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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