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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Watford |
41.77% | 24.03% | 34.2% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 60.82% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.5% ( 0) | 41.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.1% ( 0) | 63.9% ( 0) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.91% ( 0) | 20.09% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.67% ( 0) | 52.33% ( 0) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( 0) | 23.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( 0) | 58.09% |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Watford |
2-1 @ 8.85% 1-0 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.02% Total : 41.77% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-1 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
> Championship Full Table |