Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Leeds United |
56.57% ( 0.92) | 23.04% ( -0.39) | 20.39% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 52.21% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.62% ( 0.96) | 47.38% ( -0.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.4% ( 0.88) | 69.6% ( -0.88) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.46% ( 0.67) | 16.54% ( -0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.7% ( 1.19) | 46.3% ( -1.19) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.55% ( 0) | 37.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.77% ( 0) | 74.23% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.13% Total : 56.56% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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